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1998 to 2007: Another record scorcher

Friday, 14 December 2007
Agençe France-Presse
1998 to 2007: Another record scorcher

Hot, hot, hot: The 11 warmest years ever recorded have all occurred in the past 13 years says the WMO.

Credit: iStockphoto

BALI: This year is set to be one of the warmest on record and the decade of 1998 to 2007 is to be the hottest ever documented, according to the U.N.'s World Meteorological Organisation (WMO).

With 18 days left in the year, 2007 is on track for being the seventh warmest year since record keeping began, the agency said, adding that the year had also been characterised by brutal and exceptional weather events.

In the northern hemisphere, 2007 is poised to the second-warmest year, while the average annual temperatures in the southern hemisphere have been the ninth warmest, it said.

Further confirmation

The WMO – one of the parent organisations of the Nobel-winning Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) – said its preliminary report on the world's weather for 2007 strengthened the evidence for man-made global warming.

"What we are seeing is a confirmation of the warming trend seen by the IPCC reports," WMO Secretary General Michel Jarraud said as he presented the document, which is based on data collected by national weather stations and research institutions.

The report was published as negotiators on the Indonesian resort island of Bali struggled over a deal that would launch two years of negotiations leading to a new global pact for tackling the greenhouse-gas crisis.

Since the start of the 20th century, the global average surface temperature has risen by 0.74 °C, but the increase has not been smooth and continuous, the WMO noted: "The linear warming trend over the last 50 years, of 0.13 °C per decade, is nearly twice that for the last 100 years," it said.

The report's final version will be published in March 2008 in the WMO's annual brochure on the status of the global climate.

The report highlights include:

  • The 11 warmest years ever recorded have all occurred in the past 13 years. January 2007 was the warmest January in the global average temperature on record.
  • Parts of Europe had the warmest spring ever recorded, with temperatures that were more than 4 °C above the long-term monthly averages. Two extreme heatwaves gripped Southeastern Europe in June and July, busting previous records with daily peaks of more than 40 °C in some locations.
  • Severe droughts gripped large parts of the western U.S. and upper Midwest and in Australia, while China experienced its worst water scarcity in a decade, with nearly 40 million hectares of land drought-affected.
  • Heavy flooding hit many African countries, as well as Bolivia, Uruguay, Mexico, southern China and Indonesia. England and Wales recorded their wettest May to July period since records began in 1766, suffering damages of more than six billion US dollars.
  • It was a devastating year for cyclones. In November, cyclone Sidr hit Bangladesh, affecting more than 8.5 million people and killing over 3,000, and damaging or destroying nearly 1.5 million houses. In June cyclone Gonu made landfall in Oman, affecting more than 20,000 people and killing 50, before reaching Iran. "There is no record of a tropical cyclone hitting Iran since 1945," said the WMO.
  • Arctic sea ice shrank dramatically. In September, at the end of the summer ice-melt season, only 4.28 million square km2 of the Arctic Ocean was covered by ice, the lowest on record, and 39 per cent below the long-term average. For five weeks between August and September, nearly 100 voyages were made through the Canadian Northwest Passage, the first time in documented history that this legendary trans-Arctic link between the Pacific and Europe had been opened to navigation.
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Readers' comments

Another record scorcher

How old is the earth?
How long have records been kept?
What % of earths history are these predictions made?
Is this what climate porn is called?

Question

When have you belived the weather forcast for a week in advance?""

Summer will be hotter.,
Winter will be cooler.

Turn off the lights in ever city each night for 8 hours and what will the effect be?
How many joules does an electric light give off?

Arctic ice coverage

So arctic sea ice coverage appears to have dropped substantially in the past few years. Obviously, higher sea temperatures contribute to this, but who is to say this has not just been a slow, long-term trend?
Perhaps the mean temperature of the Ice has slowly increased over many hundreds of years, but has only now reached the temperature to start melting the ice. I very much doubt that one or two years worth of "global warming" all of a sudden caused a vast amount of sea ice to just disappear.

hottest and coldest

ninth hottest, eighth hottest, second hottest day

I'm just waiting for a god damn freezing day to throw the records and even a cold year on average.

they they'll say that global warming 'its causing storms' and cooling!

its so suspiciously coincidence

my view
Eliot

Cherry Picking Facts?

"The 11 warmest years ever recorded have all occurred in the past 13 years. January 2007 was the warmest January in the global average temperature on record."

Is this statistically significant? Or is this just nonsense? Isn't this a science publication? What was the warmest two consecutive months on record then? How was the Jan temperature determined? Land records? Ocean? From space? The weighted average of all 3?

"Parts of Europe had the warmest spring ever recorded..."

And Sydney had the coldest Xmas in 13 years. What do these individual events prove or disprove exactly, since the planet is a pretty big place?

"Severe droughts gripped large parts of the western U.S..."

Right, now every bad weather event (and we will always have bad weather events whether during periods of warming or cooling) is now somehow caused by global warming which is caused by humans. So this all the human races fault?

"There is no record of a tropical cyclone hitting Iran since 1945," said the WMO."

Yet the north Atlantic had record levels of storm inactivity. I guess global warming can cause both storms and prevent them at the same time. Very logical! Why not list all the record cold events (ice storms that killed dozens of people, etc.) alongside the warming events. I see no scientific (i.e., rational) thinking here, which is disappointing for a magazine that purports to be based on science.

No one believes you!

No one believes your fear mongering announcements anymore, people.

You've lied too many times.

"The sky is falling. The sky is falling."

I don't think so.